Josh Giddey Points - Player Prop Bet 3/24/2024

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Josh Giddey

NBA · Player Props

Josh Giddey

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Mar 24, 2024

Updated Mar 25, 2024 3:01 AM EST

Analysis

Josh Giddey Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-118/-113).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -106 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -113.

Key Factors

Favors Over

When it comes to shooting, the Thunder's terrific 121.2 points per game settles in as the 2nd-strongest in the league over the last 20 games.
The matchup vs. the Bucks is a good one; they have given up the most points per game in the league to opposing starting PGs this year (21.7).
The fastest tempo team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.
Josh Giddey has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 17.4% higher than he's put through the net in all games this season.
The matchup vs. Milwaukee is a favorable one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting PGs have attempted a monstrous 4.6 foul shots per game this year when the Bucks are at home (5th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

Josh Giddey has attempted just 10.3 shots per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 14.8 mark last year.
Relative to last season's 31.3 rate, Josh Giddey's playing time has regressed this season to 24.5 minutes per game.
The faceoff with Damian Lillard registers in the 3rd percentile with the other side's starting PGs making a mere 30.5% of their 3-point attempts this year.
The Oklahoma City Thunder will likely suffer a reduction in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Milwaukee Bucks).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder rank 2ndworst in in the league with only 8.8 offensive boards per game this year.

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