Josh Giddey Points - Player Prop Bet 3/14/2024

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Josh Giddey

NBA · Player Props

Josh Giddey

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks · Mar 14, 2024

Updated Mar 15, 2024 2:06 AM EST

Analysis

Josh Giddey Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-108/-124).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Giddey has sunk 59.6% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 13.0% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season.
The Thunder rank as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league this year.
The matchup vs. Dallas is a favorable one for three-point shots; when the Mavericks are the visiting team, the other team's starting PGs have averaged the 9th-most treys per game in the league this year (2.4).
The 3rd-speediest tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Thunder.
The Thunder will likely see a rise in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play away team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Dallas Mavericks).

Favors Under

Josh Giddey has been on the court for just 24.6 minutes per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 31.3 minutes per game last year.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Over the last 20 games, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 2.9 foul shots per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Mavericks, finding it difficult to get to the foul line.

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