Josh Giddey Points - Player Prop Bet 3/8/2024

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Josh Giddey

NBA · Player Props

Josh Giddey

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Miami Heat · Mar 8, 2024

Updated Mar 9, 2024 1:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Josh Giddey Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Giddey has attempted 10.1 shots from the field per game this year, ranking him in the 75th percentile out of all players in the league.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games.
Over the last 10 games, opposing starting PGs have averaged 23.1 points per game (27th-most in the league) vs. the Heat, branding this as a good matchup for offensive efficiency.
The Thunder have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The matchup vs. the Heat may be a favorable one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted an enormous 5.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (28th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

In contrast to last season's 31.3 mark, Josh Giddey's playing time has regressed this season to 24.7 minutes per game.
The Miami Heat have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 25 games on the road, which ought to reduce plays for the Oklahoma City Thunder.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and create more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder rank 1stworst in in the NBA as the home team with just 8.5 offensive boards per game this year.

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