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Josh Giddey

Josh Giddey Points
Player Prop - 1/31/2024

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets

Josh Giddey Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Josh Giddey has successfully made 60.3% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games at home, 10.4% higher than he's converted over the course of the season while playing at home.

The Thunder rank as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.

In comparison to last season's 70.1% clip, Josh Giddey's foul-shot prowess has surged this season to 79.6%.

The matchup against the Nuggets may be a good one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting PGs have attempted a massive 5.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games (27th-most in the league).

Josh Giddey will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium usually increases stat production in all facets of the game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Compared to last year's 31.3 rate, Josh Giddey's playing time has regressed this year to 24.8 minutes per game.

The matchup against Denver is a challenging one for three-point attempts; when the Nuggets are on the road, the opposing team's starting PGs have totaled the 15th-least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (4.5).

The 7th-most lethargic tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.

The Oklahoma City Thunder are expected to see a decline in opportunities in this contest from facing the slowest tempo visiting offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Denver Nuggets).

The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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