Josh Giddey Points - Player Prop Bet 1/29/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Josh Giddey

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Jan 29, 2024

Updated Jan 30, 2024 12:32 AM EST

Analysis

Josh Giddey Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-110/-121).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -121.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Giddey has made 59.8% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games at home, 9.9% more than he's made in all games this season with the home court advantage.
Josh Giddey has sunk 42.0% of his 3-point shots over the last 10 games at home, 15.0% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this year with the home court advantage.
When it comes to offense, the Thunder's excellent 125.7 points per game on their home court ranks 2nd-highest in the league over the last 15 games.
Over the last 10 games, opposing clubs have brought down 8.2 offensive boards per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves (shortening possessions that could otherwise bring about further chances for offense).
Josh Giddey stands to see an increase in productivity across the board on account of having the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Josh Giddey has played a mere 24.9 minutes per game this year, significantly less than his 31.3 minutes per game last year.
This year, opposing starting PGs have averaged 39.8% on shot attempts from the field (15th-worst in the league) against the Timberwolves, resulting in a tough matchup.
The 10th-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.
The Timberwolves have played at the 4th-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Thunder.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark more chances for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 2ndworst in in the league with a mere 8.6 offensive boards per game this year.