Josh Giddey Points - Player Prop Bet 1/28/2024

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Josh Giddey

NBA · Player Props

Josh Giddey

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Jan 28, 2024

Updated Jan 28, 2024 7:08 PM UTC

Analysis

Josh Giddey Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+102/-136).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -134 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -136.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Thunder have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league this year.
The matchup against the Detroit Pistons is a positive one; they have allowed the 29th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting PGs this year (21.2).
The 9th-most up-tempo pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Thunder.
The Detroit Pistons have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which should raise possessions for the Oklahoma City Thunder.
The Pistons have allowed the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.9) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

In comparison to last year's 14.8 clip, Josh Giddey's field goal attempts have regressed this year to 10.5 per game.
Josh Giddey has failed to convert 2.8 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.2 more than he's missed in all games this season while playing away from home.
Josh Giddey has tallied a measly 24.8 minutes per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 31.3 minutes per game last season.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Thunder grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA with only 8.5 offensive boards per game this year.
Josh Giddey will likely experience a decrease in effectiveness across the board due to being on the road in this game.

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