Josh Giddey Points - Player Prop Bet 1/20/2024

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Josh Giddey

NBA · Player Props

Josh Giddey

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Jan 20, 2024

Updated Jan 21, 2024 1:07 AM EST

Analysis

Josh Giddey Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

As it relates to shooting, the Thunder's terrific 123.9 points per game ranks 2nd-most in the league over the last 25 games.
The 8th-quickest pace offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Thunder.
Josh Giddey has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games on the road, 15.6% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season without the home court advantage.

Favors Under

In comparison to last year's 14.8 clip, Josh Giddey's field goal attempts have tailed off this year to 10.7 per game.
The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a tough one for field goals; the opposing team's starting PGs have shot for the 15th-lowest field goal percentage in the NBA this year (39.8%).
The Thunder will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities today from competing against the 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 1stworst in in the league with a mere 8.3 offensive boards per game this year.
While playing at home, the Minnesota Timberwolves have allowed the 10th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

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