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Josh Giddey

Josh Giddey Points
Player Prop - 1/10/2024

Miami Heat vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Josh Giddey Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-108/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -112.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Josh Giddey has sunk 56.4% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games, 9.8% more than he's converted overall this year.

Josh Giddey has converted 2.2 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's sunk over the course of the year.

The Thunder rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games.

The Thunder have played at the 8th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.

Over the last 25 games, their opposition has secured 8.9 offensive boards per game (fewest in the league) against the Miami Heat (diminishing possessions that could otherwise lead to more chances for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup vs. Miami is a difficult one; when the Heat are playing at home, they have given up the 12th-least points per game in the league to the other team's starting PGs over the last 20 games (15.2).

The Thunder will likely see a decline in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 25 games (the Heat).

The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. Miami may be a challenging one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PGs have attempted a mere 2.9 free throws per game over the last 20 games when the Heat are on their home court (13th-least in the NBA).

Josh Giddey should see a decline in production for all stats as a result of playing away from home in this matchup.

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