Josh Giddey Points - Player Prop Bet 2/28/2023

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Josh Giddey

NBA · Player Props

Josh Giddey

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Sacramento Kings · Feb 28, 2023

Updated Mar 1, 2023 12:26 AM EST

Analysis

Josh Giddey Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-109/-119).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -116 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -119.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Giddey has converted 6.8 buckets per game over the last 10 games, 1.6 higher than he's sunk overall this season.
Josh Giddey has tallied 30.9 minutes per game while playing at home this year, putting him in the 81st percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
The matchup against Sacramento is a strong one for shots from the field; when the Kings are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged the 26th-most FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (15.3).
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 5th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games playing at home.
The Kings have played at the 5th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to increase opportunities for the Thunder.

Favors Under

The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
When playing away from home, the Kings have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.0) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Kings may be a challenging one for getting to the free throw line; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a measly 3.1 free throws per game over the last 15 games (10th-least in the league).

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