Josh Giddey Points - Player Prop Bet 2/1/2023

NBA · Player Props

Josh Giddey

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Houston Rockets vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Feb 1, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Josh Giddey Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Giddey has made 9.2 field goals per game over the last 5 games on the road, 2.1 more than he's converted in all games this season while playing on the road.
Josh Giddey has made 89.9% of his free throw attempts over the last 15 games on the road, 8.7% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this season without the home court advantage.
Josh Giddey has been on the court for 30.3 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 79th percentile.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games when playing away from home.

Favors Under

When playing at home, the Rockets have allowed the 6th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the league to their opposition this year (which will also lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Rockets may be a challenging one for drawing fouls; their opposition have attempted a mere 26.4 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (5th-least in the league).
The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games in terms of three-point attempts.
The matchup against the Rockets is a challenging one for three-pointers; the other team's starting PGs have posted the 10th-lowest 3-point percentage in the NBA over the last 15 games while at home (31.4%).
Josh Giddey will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium tends to lowers stat production across the board.