Josh Giddey Points - Player Prop Bet 1/10/2023

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Josh Giddey

NBA · Player Props

Josh Giddey

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Miami Heat vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Jan 10, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Josh Giddey Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-106/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Giddey has sunk 52.8% of his 3-point shots over the last 15 games, 16.9% higher than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this year.
Josh Giddey has made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 23.8% more than he's sunk over the course of the year.
Josh Giddey has played 30.2 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 78th percentile.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year as it relates to field goals.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the NBA this year [ON_THE_ROAD_TEAM].

Favors Under

Josh Giddey has committed 2.4 personal fouls per game on the road this year, ranking him in the 76th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
The matchup against the Heat is a challenging one for 3-pointers; on their home court, opposing teams have shot for the 2nd-lowest 3-point rate [IN_THE_LEAGUE] this year (38.1%).
The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA since the start of last season while playing on the road.
The Thunder have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the league this year, which should reduce possessions for the Heat.
The matchup against the Heat is a challenging one for shots from the field; the opposing team's starting PGs have totaled the least FG attempts per game in the NBA since the start of last season (12.2).

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