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Jose Alvarado

Jose Alvarado Points
Player Prop - 2/3/2025

Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans

Jose Alvarado Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Pelicans have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games.

The Nuggets have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should lead to increased possessions for the New Orleans Pelicans.

The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

Jose Alvarado has made an impressive 80.0% of his free throws this season, significantly higher than his 70.7 mark last season.

The matchup against Denver may be a strong one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted an enormous 6.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Denver Nuggets are playing at home (3rd-most in the league).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the NBA, Jose Alvarado measures in the 15th percentile for field goal effectiveness away from his home court with an unimpressive 35.3% rate this year.

In terms of offense, the New Orleans Pelicans's subpar 105.2 points per game when playing away from home ranks 3rd-weakest in the league this year.

The matchup against Denver is a challenging one for 3-point shots; when the Denver Nuggets are on their home court, opposing starting PGs have posted the 2nd-lowest three percentage in the league this year (20.5%).

Jose Alvarado will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road tends to reduce stat production for all stats.

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