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Jose Alvarado

Jose Alvarado Points
Player Prop - 12/2/2023

Chicago Bulls vs New Orleans Pelicans

Jose Alvarado Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 2nd-speediest pace team in the league over the last 20 games has been the New Orleans Pelicans.

Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans rank 8thbest in in the league with 12.0 offensive rebounds per game this year.

This year when they are on the road, opposing teams have collected 10.2 offensive boards per game (8th-lowest in the league) against the Bulls (losing possessions that could otherwise produce bonus chances for offense).

The matchup vs. the Bulls is a challenging one for drawing fouls; opposing squads have attempted a mere 20.5 foul shots per game this year (8th-least in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the league, Jose Alvarado lands in the 19th percentile for shooting effectiveness while playing on the road with a a lackluster 39.5% rate since the start of last season.

With respect to offense, the Pelicans's lackluster 108.4 points per game when playing away from home settles in as the 8th-lowest in the NBA this year.

This matchup is a good one for 3-pointers; when the Chicago Bulls are the visiting squad, opposing clubs have totaled the most threes per game in the NBA against them this year (15.1).

The Pelicans will likely experience a decrease in plays in this game from sharing the court with the most sluggish tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Chicago Bulls).

Jose Alvarado will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city usually reduces player performance for all stats.

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