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Jose Alvarado

Jose Alvarado Points
Player Prop - 11/27/2023

Utah Jazz vs New Orleans Pelicans

Jose Alvarado Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the league while on their home court this year.

The Jazz have played at the 9th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 8 games away from their home stadium, which should raise opportunities for the Pelicans.

The Pelicans rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 7 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jose Alvarado has successfully made 39.1% of his field goals at home since the start of last season, putting him in the 17th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

When it comes to 3-point attempts, the least aggressive team in the league playing at home since the start of last season has been the Pelicans.

This matchup is a positive one for shot attempts from downtown; opposing squads have totaled the 4th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (39.8).

This year when they are on the road, their opposition has attempted 25.8 free throws per game (5th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Jazz, succeeding in their efforts to get to the foul line.

Jose Alvarado will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium usually worsens player production for all stats.

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