Jordan Poole Points - Player Prop Bet 11/24/2023

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Jordan Poole

NBA · Player Props

Jordan Poole

G · Washington Wizards

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Washington Wizards · Nov 24, 2023

Updated Nov 25, 2023 12:29 AM EST

Analysis

Jordan Poole Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-110/-130).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jordan Poole has attempted 18.2 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 higher than he's attempted in all games this year.
The Washington Wizards rank as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league while on their home court this year.
This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting SGs have totaled 7.7 3-point attempts per game (30th-most in the NBA) vs. the Bucks, labeling this as a good matchup.
The Washington Wizards have played at the fastest tempo in the league as the away team this year.
The Washington Wizards are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this contest from facing the 2nd-fastest pace road offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Bucks).

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Jordan Poole rates in the 85th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a colossal 2.9 fouls per game while playing at home this year.
Offensive rebounds save possession and generate more chances for scoring and assists, but the Wizards grade out 3rdworst in in the NBA on their home court with just 8.5 offensive boards per game this year.
While on their home court, the Bucks have given up the 8th-most offensive boards per game (11.6) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
Jordan Poole has successfully made just 2.5 foul shots per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 4.1 rate last season.
Jordan Poole will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium usually worsens player performance in all facets of the game.

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