Jordan Poole Points - Player Prop Bet 11/20/2023

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Jordan Poole

NBA · Player Props

Jordan Poole

G · Washington Wizards

Points

Washington Wizards vs Milwaukee Bucks · Nov 20, 2023

Updated Nov 20, 2023 10:57 PM EST

Analysis

Jordan Poole Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-105/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jordan Poole has successfully made 2.5 three-pointers per game over the last 6 games at home, 0.9 higher than he's converted over the course of the year while at home.
In regard to three-point attempts, the 10th-most aggressive offense in the NBA this year has been the Wizards.
The matchup against Milwaukee is a strong one; when the Bucks are the visiting squad, they have allowed the 30th-most points per game in the league to opposing starting SGs this year (20.2).
The 2nd-quickest tempo team in the league this year has been the Wizards.
The Bucks have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the NBA at home this year, which should increase possessions for the Wizards.

Favors Under

In comparison to last year's 19.0 rate, Jordan Poole's points per game have tailed off this year to 15.5.
Jordan Poole has tallied 4.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's tallied overall this season.
The Washington Wizards have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Milwaukee Bucks have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.7) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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