Jordan Hawkins Points - Player Prop Bet 11/12/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Jordan Hawkins

G · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Dallas Mavericks · Nov 12, 2023

Updated Nov 13, 2023 12:04 AM EST

Analysis

Jordan Hawkins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-118/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jordan Hawkins has successfully made 3.4 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 more than he's converted from downtown overall this season.
The Mavericks have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to increase opportunities for the Pelicans.
Jordan Hawkins has successfully made 3.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.3 more than he's made in all games this year at home.
As a team, the Pelicans have been terrific at getting to the foul line on their home court: 10th-best in the NBA this year, drawing 24.4 free throws per game.
Jordan Hawkins will possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium usually boosts player performance for all stats.

Favors Under

Jordan Hawkins has averaged 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 0.9 more than he's averaged overall this year at home.
Since the start of last season when they are at home, the opposing team's starting PGs have totaled 4.9 three attempts per game (13th-lowest in the league) against the Mavericks, resulting in a tough matchup.
The Pelicans have played at the 6th-least up-tempo pace in the league this year.
The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
The Dallas Mavericks have given up the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.2) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).