Jonathan Mogbo Points - Player Prop Bet 4/13/2025

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Jonathan Mogbo

NBA · Player Props

Jonathan Mogbo

F · Toronto Raptors

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Toronto Raptors · Apr 13, 2025

Updated Apr 14, 2025 3:55 AM EST

Analysis

Jonathan Mogbo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -100 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jonathan Mogbo has attempted 11.6 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 6.1 higher than he's attempted in all games this year.
Jonathan Mogbo has averaged 32.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 12.4 more than he's averaged overall this year.
The rate of shots from downtown converted against Bismack Biyombo has been quite high (43.4%) when guarding fellow starting Cs this year (100th percentile).
The fastest pace visiting offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Raptors.
The Toronto Raptors will likely see a rise in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 9th-fastest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games (the San Antonio Spurs).

Favors Under

Jonathan Mogbo has accumulated 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 1.0 more than he's accumulated overall this season on the road.
The Toronto Raptors have been the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games when playing away from home.
The number of fouls drawn by other starting Cs against Bismack Biyombo has been remarkably low this year (2.2 free throw attempts per game when they have the home court advantage: 7th percentile).
Jonathan Mogbo figures to see a decline in productivity in all stat categories in light of being on the road in this contest.

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