Jonathan Mogbo Points - Player Prop Bet 4/11/2025

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Jonathan Mogbo

NBA · Player Props

Jonathan Mogbo

F · Toronto Raptors

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Toronto Raptors · Apr 11, 2025

Updated Apr 12, 2025 2:24 AM EST

Analysis

Jonathan Mogbo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jonathan Mogbo has successfully made 58.0% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 12.6% higher than he's sunk overall this year.
Jonathan Mogbo has been on the court for 31.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 11.3 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the year.
The Raptors have played at the quickest pace in the league over the last 10 games away from home.
The Toronto Raptors are expected to see an increase in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Dallas Mavericks).
The Toronto Raptors check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jonathan Mogbo has tallied 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 0.8 higher than he's tallied overall this year on the road.
The Raptors have been the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the league while playing away from home this year in regard to 3-point attempts.
The clash with Dereck Lively II registers in the 3rd percentile for difficulty with the opposition's starting Cs making just 0.3 treys per game this year when they are playing on the road.
Jonathan Mogbo will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court usually reduces player production for all stats.

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