Jonathan Kuminga Points - Player Prop Bet 12/8/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Jonathan Kuminga

F · Golden State Warriors

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Golden State Warriors · Dec 8, 2023

Updated Dec 9, 2023 12:47 AM EST

Analysis

Jonathan Kuminga Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-105/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jonathan Kuminga has sunk 55.4% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games at home, 8.8% higher than he's converted over the course of the season when playing at home.
This matchup is a challenging one for field goals; when the Thunder are away from home, opposing teams have shot for the 2nd-lowest field goal percentage in the league against them this year (43.8%).
The Warriors have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing at home.
The Thunder have played at the 5th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Warriors.
The Warriors have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jonathan Kuminga has converted just 19.1% of his 3-pointers this year, quite a bit less than his 35.3 mark last year.
In terms of scoring, the Warriors's subpar 45.2% field goal percentage while on the road measures as the 6th-fewest in the league this year.
When playing on the road, the Oklahoma City Thunder have given up the most offensive boards per game (13.9) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
This matchup is a favorable one for getting to the foul line; when the Oklahoma City Thunder are away from home, opposing clubs have attempted a monstrous 25.6 foul shots per game this year (4th-most in the NBA).
Jonathan Kuminga figures to see a decline in production for all stats considering being on the road in this game.