Jonathan Isaac Points - Player Prop Bet 11/21/2023

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Jonathan Isaac

NBA · Player Props

Jonathan Isaac

F · Orlando Magic

Points

Orlando Magic vs Toronto Raptors · Nov 21, 2023

Updated Nov 22, 2023 12:02 AM EST

Analysis

Jonathan Isaac Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+104/-128).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ +106 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ +104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jonathan Isaac has committed 1.1 personal fouls per game over the last 11 games while at home, 1.2 less than he's committed overall this season at home.
The 5th-quickest tempo home offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Magic.
The Raptors have played at the 9th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court, which ought to raise opportunities for the Magic.
The Magic check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year when they are playing at home, opposing squads have grabbed 9.8 offensive rebounds per game (5th-fewest in the NBA) against the Raptors (shortening possessions that could otherwise generate added opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Jonathan Isaac has sunk a lowly 21.7% of his treys this year, quite a bit lower than his 34.7 rate last year.
Jonathan Isaac has attempted 2.0 treys per game over the last 7 games away from home, 1.3 less than he's attempted in all games this year on the road.
In terms of offense, the Orlando Magic's lackluster 109.4 points per game while at home ranks 4th-fewest in the NBA this year.
This year when they are the visiting team, opposing clubs have totaled 42.8 shots made from the field per game (9th-most in the NBA) vs. the Raptors, labeling this as a good matchup.

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