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Jonas Valanciunas

Jonas Valanciunas Rebounds
Player Prop - 4/9/2023

Minnesota Timberwolves vs New Orleans Pelicans

Jonas Valanciunas Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+110/-134).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -134.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jonas Valanciunas has averaged 9.5 defensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games, 2.3 higher than he's averaged overall this season.

The Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA at home this year, which should lead to more possessions for the Pelicans.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jonas Valanciunas has tallied 3.1 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (95th percentile).

The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games.

The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

The Timberwolves have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Jonas Valanciunas will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city tends to reduces stat production for all stats.

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