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Jonas Valanciunas

Jonas Valanciunas Points
Player Prop - 1/30/2025

Washington Wizards vs Los Angeles Lakers

Jonas Valanciunas Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-103/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ +103 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -103.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jonas Valanciunas has made 100.0% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games, 73.7% higher than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the year.

The Wizards have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

The Wizards have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

In contrast to last season's 80.8% rate, Jonas Valanciunas's foul-shot performance has jumped this season to 88.8%.

Jonas Valanciunas ought to see an increase in performance in all stat categories due to having the home court advantage in this game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

As it relates to scoring, the Wizards's lackluster 96.0 points per game comes in as the 2nd-lowest in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The number of three-point shots attempted against Jaxson Hayes has been very low (1.3 per game) when defending opposing starting Cs this year (3rd percentile).

The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Washington Wizards.

The number of fouls drawn by other starting Cs vs. Jaxson Hayes has been very low this year (1.9 foul shots per game when they are at home: 7th percentile).

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