Jonas Valanciunas Points - Player Prop Bet 11/13/2024

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Jonas Valanciunas

NBA · Player Props

Jonas Valanciunas

C · Washington Wizards

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Washington Wizards · Nov 13, 2024

Updated Nov 14, 2024 12:55 AM EST

Analysis

Jonas Valanciunas Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jonas Valanciunas has made 60.8% of his field goals this year, placing him in the 88th percentile out of all players in the league.
The 3rd-quickest tempo offense in the NBA this year has been the Washington Wizards.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Jonas Valanciunas measures in the 13th percentile for three-point prowess on the road with a weak 0.0% rate this year.
Over the last 6 games when they are the visiting team, opposing clubs have averaged 36.3 three attempts per game (23rd-most in the NBA) vs. the San Antonio Spurs, creating a positive matchup.
The Wizards are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this game from facing the 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Spurs).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Washington Wizards grade out 6thworst in in the league with only 8.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
Jonas Valanciunas will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling usually reduces player performance in all stat categories.

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