Jonas Valanciunas Points - Player Prop Bet 4/7/2024

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Jonas Valanciunas

NBA · Player Props

Jonas Valanciunas

C · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

Phoenix Suns vs New Orleans Pelicans · Apr 7, 2024

Updated Apr 7, 2024 9:42 PM EST

Analysis

Jonas Valanciunas Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jonas Valanciunas has successfully made 68.4% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 12.9% more than he's made overall this year without the home court advantage.
The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 25 games as the away team.

Favors Under

Jonas Valanciunas has converted 8.3% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games, 22.0% lower than he's made overall this year.
Among all players in the league, Jonas Valanciunas rates in the 92nd percentile for personal fouls, compiling a whopping 2.7 fouls per game this year.
The matchup vs. Jusuf Nurkic is a tough one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when Nurkic is at home and defending other starting Cs this year, they have averaged a measly 0.5 threes per game (17th percentile).
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Suns have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Pelicans.

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