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Jonas Valanciunas

Jonas Valanciunas Points
Player Prop - 4/1/2024

New Orleans Pelicans vs Phoenix Suns

Jonas Valanciunas Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jonas Valanciunas has sunk 54.7% of his field goal attempts while at home this year, ranking in the 84th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

The Pelicans check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jonas Valanciunas figures to see a rise in output for all stats due to possessing the home court advantage in this matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the NBA, Jonas Valanciunas slots into the 87th percentile for personal fouls, posting a whopping 2.5 fouls per game when playing at home this year.

With respect to shooting, the Pelicans's subpar 107.2 points per game ranks 10th-weakest in the league over the last 5 games.

The number of field goals scored against Jusuf Nurkic has been remarkably low (5.8 per game) when he is playing on the road and facing other starting Cs this year (24th percentile).

The 9th-most sluggish pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the New Orleans Pelicans.

The matchup vs. Jusuf Nurkic is a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; when defending fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a mere 2.8 foul shots per game (21st percentile).

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