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Jonas Valanciunas

Jonas Valanciunas Points
Player Prop - 2/10/2024

Portland Trail Blazers vs New Orleans Pelicans

Jonas Valanciunas Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jonas Valanciunas has made 64.9% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games on the road, 7.4% more than he's made in all games this season away from home.

When defending other starting Cs, Deandre Ayton rates in the 100th percentile with a massive 2.6 threes attempted against him per game this year.

The Pelicans have played at the 10th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games.

The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

On their home court, the Trail Blazers have given up the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.9) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Jonas Valanciunas places in the 95th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a monstrous 2.9 fouls per game this year.

The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the league while on the road this year in terms of shot attempts from downtown.

The Pelicans are expected to see a decline in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the slowest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Portland Trail Blazers).

The matchup vs. Deandre Ayton is a difficult one for drawing fouls; when Ayton is on his home court and defending other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a measly 2.2 foul shots per game (10th percentile).

Jonas Valanciunas ought to experience a decrease in production in all facets of the game due to playing on the visting team in this matchup.

More Jonas Valanciunas Player Props

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