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Jonas Valanciunas

Jonas Valanciunas Points
Player Prop - 4/4/2023

New Orleans Pelicans vs Sacramento Kings

Jonas Valanciunas Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-123/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -123.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jonas Valanciunas has sunk 60.0% of his 3-point shots over the last 10 games at home, 29.4% higher than he's made from 3-point range overall this season when playing at home.

The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The matchup against the Kings is a positive one for scoring; opposing starting Cs have shot for the 25th-highest field goal rate in the NBA this year (61.7%).

The Kings have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games on the road, which should boost possessions for the Pelicans.

Away from home, the Kings have given up the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (8.6) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jonas Valanciunas has tallied 3.0 personal fouls per game playing at home this year, placing him in the 93rd percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.

The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.

The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jonas Valanciunas has successfully made a mere 2.4 foul shots per game this season, significantly less than his 3.2 rate last season.

More Jonas Valanciunas Player Props

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