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Jonas Valanciunas

Jonas Valanciunas Points
Player Prop - 3/14/2023

New Orleans Pelicans vs Los Angeles Lakers

Jonas Valanciunas Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jonas Valanciunas has scored 17.6 points per game at home this year, putting him in the 85th percentile -- among the NBA's best by this standard.

Jonas Valanciunas has made 52.2% of his shots from the field with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 80th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Jonas Valanciunas has played 30.0 minutes per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 77th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.

The matchup against the Lakers is a positive one; they have allowed the 24th-most points per game in the league to the opposition's starting Cs over the last 15 games (15.9).

The Lakers have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should raise plays for the Pelicans.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jonas Valanciunas has been called for 3.2 personal fouls per game with the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 96th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.

The New Orleans Pelicans have been the lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year when it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc.

The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games with the home court advantage.

The Lakers have allowed the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.0) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

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