Jonas Valanciunas Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 4/14/2024

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Jonas Valanciunas

NBA · Player Props

Jonas Valanciunas

C · New Orleans Pelicans

Made 3 Point Shots

New Orleans Pelicans vs Los Angeles Lakers · Apr 14, 2024

Updated Apr 14, 2024 7:33 PM UTC

Analysis

Jonas Valanciunas Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+225/-300).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -270 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -300.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup with Anthony Davis slots into only the 97th percentile for difficulty with opposing starting Cs draining a massive 0.9 three-pointers per game this year.
The Lakers have played at the speediest pace in the league over the last 20 games, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Pelicans.
The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Jonas Valanciunas should see a spike in efficiency in all facets of the game considering possessing the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Jonas Valanciunas has sunk 2.8% of his 3-point shots over the last 15 games, 26.0% less than he's made from downtown over the course of the season.
Among all players in the NBA, Jonas Valanciunas slots into the 88th percentile for personal fouls, registering a monstrous 2.5 fouls per game while on his home court this year.
The 6th-least up-tempo tempo home team in the league over the last 5 games has been the New Orleans Pelicans.

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