Jonas Valanciunas Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 12/26/2023

NBA · Player Props

Jonas Valanciunas

C · New Orleans Pelicans

Made 3 Point Shots

New Orleans Pelicans vs Memphis Grizzlies · Dec 26, 2023

Updated Dec 27, 2023 3:58 AM UTC

Analysis

Jonas Valanciunas Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 7th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 15 games with the home court advantage.
The New Orleans Pelicans are expected to see a spike in plays today from competing against the 6th-fastest pace road team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Memphis Grizzlies).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans grade out 8thbest in in the NBA at home with 10.4 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.
This year, opposing teams have come down with 10.6 offensive boards per game (9th-fewest in the league) vs. the Memphis Grizzlies (losing possessions that could otherwise create more opportunities for offense).
Jonas Valanciunas will likely see a spike in efficiency for all stats as a result of enjoying the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Jonas Valanciunas comes in at the 16th percentile for three-point proficiency while at home with a a subpar 23.3% rate this year.
Among all players in the league, Jonas Valanciunas ranks in the 97th percentile for personal fouls, totaling an enormous 3.3 fouls per game this year.
With respect to three-point attempts, the least aggressive offense in the league at home over the last 5 games has been the Pelicans.
This year, the other team has averaged 38.7% on threes (2nd-best in the league) vs. the Memphis Grizzlies, designating this as a favorable matchup.
While away from his home court and squaring off against other starting Cs, Bismack Biyombo ranks in the 7th percentile with just 0.8 three-point shots attempted against him per game this year.