Jonas Valanciunas Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 4/5/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Jonas Valanciunas

C · New Orleans Pelicans

Made 3 Point Shots

New Orleans Pelicans vs Memphis Grizzlies · Apr 5, 2023

Updated Apr 5, 2023 11:11 PM UTC

Analysis

Jonas Valanciunas Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+150/-185).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +165 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jonas Valanciunas has sunk 60.0% of his three-point attempts over the last 10 games at home, 29.4% more than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the year while playing at home.
Jonas Valanciunas has averaged 28.9 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.4 higher than he's averaged in all games this season.
The matchup vs. Memphis is a favorable one for three-point attempts; the other team's starting Cs have tallied the 30th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA over the last 5 games when the Grizzlies are away from home (2.2).
The Grizzlies have played at the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Pelicans.
The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jonas Valanciunas has committed 3.0 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, putting him in the 93rd percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the least aggressive offense in the league over the last 15 games when it comes to three-point attempts.
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Grizzlies have allowed the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.1) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).