Jonas Valanciunas Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/27/2024

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Jonas Valanciunas

NBA · Player Props

Jonas Valanciunas

C · New Orleans Pelicans

Assists

Milwaukee Bucks vs New Orleans Pelicans · Jan 27, 2024

Updated Jan 28, 2024 2:33 AM UTC

Analysis

Jonas Valanciunas Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-117/-117).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -117.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jonas Valanciunas has put up 3.1 assists per game over the last 10 games while playing on the road, 0.8 more than he's put up over the course of the year on the road.
The Pelicans will likely see a rise in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the quickest pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Bucks).
The Pelicans check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jonas Valanciunas has accumulated 3.1 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the league (97th percentile).
The 4th-least up-tempo pace visiting offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Pelicans.
Playing at home, the Bucks have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the league to opposing squads over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
Jonas Valanciunas is expected to see a decline in productivity for all stats in light of being on the road in this contest.

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