Jonas Valanciunas Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/29/2023

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Jonas Valanciunas

NBA · Player Props

Jonas Valanciunas

C · New Orleans Pelicans

Assists

Milwaukee Bucks vs New Orleans Pelicans · Jan 29, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Jonas Valanciunas Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-175/+130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -175.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing away from home this year (which can also create new chances for scoring and assists).
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 6th-speediest pace in the NBA while playing away from home this year.
The Pelicans have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to increased possessions for the Bucks.

Favors Under

Jonas Valanciunas has committed 3.0 personal fouls per game while playing on the road this year, ranking in the 92nd percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
The Bucks have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (13.2) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 5 games when playing at home (which also eliminates additional chances for scoring and assists).
Jonas Valanciunas will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court usually worsens stat production across the board.

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