Jonas Valanciunas Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/25/2023

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Jonas Valanciunas

NBA · Player Props

Jonas Valanciunas

C · New Orleans Pelicans

Assists

New Orleans Pelicans vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Jan 25, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Jonas Valanciunas Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-122/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games playing at home (which can also produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Pelicans have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the league this year, which should lead to more possessions for the Timberwolves.
Jonas Valanciunas will enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home tends to boosts stat production across the board.

Favors Under

Jonas Valanciunas has accumulated 3.1 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the league (95th percentile).
The Timberwolves have allowed the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 20 games (which also reduces additional chances for scoring and assists).
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 7th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.

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