John Collins Points - Player Prop Bet 11/21/2024

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John Collins

NBA · Player Props

John Collins

F-C · Utah Jazz

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Utah Jazz · Nov 21, 2024

Updated Nov 22, 2024 12:54 AM UTC

Analysis

John Collins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

John Collins has converted 8.2 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season.
John Collins has been on the court for 32.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.2 higher than he's been on the court for overall this year.
As it relates to offense, the Utah Jazz's superb 49.6% field goal rate ranks 6th-strongest in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The matchup vs. Zach Collins is a positive one for field goal attempts; when guarding fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a colossal 13.1 shots made from the field per game (100th percentile).
The Jazz have played at the 6th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 8 games as the visting team.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, John Collins rates in the 95th percentile for personal fouls, logging a massive 3.1 fouls per game this year.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Jazz grade out 9thworst in in the NBA as the road team with a mere 9.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
The matchup against Zach Collins is a tough one for getting to the foul line; when guarding fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted just 2.5 foul shots per game (19th percentile).
John Collins will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage usually reduces stat production across the board.

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