John Collins Points - Player Prop Bet 11/12/2024

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John Collins

NBA · Player Props

John Collins

F-C · Utah Jazz

Points

Utah Jazz vs Phoenix Suns · Nov 12, 2024

Updated Nov 13, 2024 1:59 AM EST

Analysis

John Collins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

John Collins has successfully made 56.8% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 7.0% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season.
The matchup against Mason Plumlee is a strong one for shots from the field; when defending other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a monstrous 13.2 field goals per game (100th percentile).
The 6th-fastest pace team in the NBA this year has been the Jazz.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create added chances for scoring and assists, and the Utah Jazz rank 4th-best in in the NBA while on their home court with 13.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.
John Collins has sunk 97.8% of his foul shots this year, putting him in the 86th percentile out of all players in the league.

Favors Under

Relative to last year's 2.8 mark, John Collins's personal fouls per game have surged this year to 3.6.
In terms of scoring, the Jazz's unimpressive 105.0 points per game measures as the worst in the NBA this year.
The Suns have played at the 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league on the road this year, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Utah Jazz.

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