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John Collins

John Collins Points
Player Prop - 1/10/2024

Utah Jazz vs Denver Nuggets

John Collins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

John Collins has converted 62.7% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 12.2% more than he's made in all games this year.

This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing clubs have averaged 10.7 threes per game (lowest in the league) against the Nuggets, designating this as a hard matchup.

The matchup against Nikola Jokic is a favorable one for shot attempts from the field; when guarding other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a colossal 10.8 shots made from the field per game (89th percentile).

The 2nd-quickest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Jazz.

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Jazz grade out 3rdbest in in the league with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

John Collins has missed 3.6 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.7 more than he's missed from beyond the arc in all games this year at home.

Among all players in the league, John Collins slots into the 84th percentile for personal fouls, totaling an enormous 2.6 fouls per game with the home court advantage this year.

As it relates to scoring, the Utah Jazz's feeble 114.1 points per game settles in as the 10th-lowest in the league over the last 25 games.

The Jazz are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the least up-tempo pace-of-play visiting offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Nuggets).

The Denver Nuggets have given up the 6th-most offensive boards per game (11.6) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

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