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John Collins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-120/-110).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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In contrast to last season's 50.2% rate, John Collins's scoring prowess has risen this season to 58.3%.John Collins has sunk an impressive 39.9% of his 3-point attempts this year, quite a bit higher than his 26.8 rate last year.The Utah Jazz have played at the 9th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games.Offensive rebounds save possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Utah Jazz grade out 15thbest in in the league while at home with 14.7 offensive boards per game this year.With the home court advantage, the Grizzlies have given up the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (7.8) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Out of all players in the NBA, John Collins places in the 89th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a massive 3.0 fouls per game this year.As it relates to shooting, the Jazz's poor 107.9 points per game comes in as the 7th-weakest in the NBA this year.This year when they are away from home, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 2.6 three attempts per game (13th-lowest in the league) against the Memphis Grizzlies, resulting in a challenging matchup.The Utah Jazz will likely suffer a drop-off in plays in this game from squaring off against the 4th-most lethargic pace road offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Grizzlies).John Collins will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium generally decreases player performance in all facets of the game.
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