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John Collins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-130/+100).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -130.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Out of all players in the NBA, John Collins comes in at the 76th percentile for field goals made on his home court, logging a colossal 5.0 per game since the start of last season.Among all players in the NBA, John Collins registers in the 76th percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 29.3 minutes per game while on his home court since the start of last season.Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Jazz rank 12thbest in in the league on their home court with 12.1 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.Since the start of last season when they are on the road, the other team has secured 9.8 offensive boards per game (5th-fewest in the league) against the Chicago Bulls (reducing possessions that could otherwise spark additional opportunities for offense).The matchup against Chicago may be a strong one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PFs have attempted a monstrous 4.3 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Bulls have the home court advantage (22nd-most in the league).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Among all players in the NBA, John Collins lands in the 94th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a whopping 3.1 fouls per game since the start of last season.Since the start of last season when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting PFs have totaled 1.3 three-pointers per game (8th-fewest in the league) against the Bulls, creating a difficult matchup.The {OPP_TEAM} will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities in this game from facing the most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Bulls).John Collins has converted 54.2% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games at home, 15.3% lower than he's sunk in all games this year when playing at home.As a team, the Jazz have been poor at getting to the foul line when playing away from home: 4th-worst in the NBA since the start of last season, tallying a lowly 20.8 foul shots per game.
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