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John Collins

John Collins Points
Player Prop - 11/4/2023

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Utah Jazz

John Collins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

John Collins has successfully made 5.0 baskets per game since the start of last season, putting him in the 76th percentile among all players in the league.

John Collins has tallied 29.3 minutes per game while playing away from home since the start of last season, ranking him in the 76th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.

The Jazz have played at the 9th-quickest tempo in the league this year.

Offensive rebounds save possession and produce extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Utah Jazz rank 12thbest in in the NBA while at home with 12.0 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season.

The matchup against Minnesota is a good one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a monstrous 3.8 foul shots per game since the start of last season when the Timberwolves are at home (28th-most in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the NBA, John Collins comes in at the 23rd percentile for 3-point performance while on his home court with a a poor 27.7% rate since the start of last season.

John Collins has committed 3.1 personal fouls per game without the home court advantage since the start of last season, putting him in the 93rd percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.

Since the start of last season when they are playing at home, the opposition's starting PFs have tallied 11.2 shot attempts per game (10th-fewest in the league) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, resulting in a difficult matchup.

The Timberwolves have allowed the 5th-most offensive boards per game (11.1) in the NBA to opposing clubs since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

As a team, the Jazz have been poor at getting to the charity stripe while at home: 4th-worst in the league since the start of last season, drawing a lowly 20.9 free throws per game.

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