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John Collins

John Collins Points
Player Prop - 4/21/2023

Atlanta Hawks vs Boston Celtics

John Collins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-130/+100).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

John Collins has made 5.0 buckets per game this year, putting him in the 76th percentile out of all players in the league.

John Collins has converted 51.9% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games at home, 20.5% higher than he's made over the course of the year while on his home court.

John Collins has tallied 29.4 minutes per game at home this year, ranking him in the 77th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.

The Atlanta Hawks have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games at home.

The Atlanta Hawks have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Atlanta Hawks check in as the least aggressive offense in the league this year in terms of attempts from downtown.

The matchup against the Celtics is a tough one; they have allowed the 10th-least points per game in the league to the other team's starting PFs over the last 5 games (11.6).

The Celtics have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home city, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Hawks.

The matchup vs. the Celtics may be a tough one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PFs have attempted a measly 1.5 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (14th-least in the NBA).

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