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John Collins

John Collins Points
Player Prop - 4/18/2023

Boston Celtics vs Atlanta Hawks

John Collins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-130/+100).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

John Collins has sunk 57.6% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 7.0% higher than he's made overall this season.

John Collins has been on the court for 29.4 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 78th percentile.

The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the league over the last 20 games.

The Celtics have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games on their home court, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Hawks.

The Atlanta Hawks rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

John Collins has been called for 3.1 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA (96th percentile).

The Atlanta Hawks rank as the least aggressive offense in the league this year in terms of attempts from beyond the arc.

The matchup vs. Boston is a tough one; when the Celtics have the home court advantage, they have allowed the 9th-least points per game in the league to the opposition's starting PFs this year (14.2).

When playing at home, the Celtics have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (13.6) in the league to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup against the Celtics may be a hard one for getting to the free throw line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 1.6 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (14th-least in the league).

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