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John Collins

John Collins Points
Player Prop - 4/5/2023

Atlanta Hawks vs Washington Wizards

 
 
 
John Collins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • John Collins has made 5.1 field goals per game playing at home this year, ranking in the 76th percentile among all players in the NBA.
  • John Collins has made 2.2 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.2 higher than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the year playing at home.
  • John Collins has averaged 29.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 77th percentile.
  • The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games while at home.
  • The Wizards have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should boost possessions for the Hawks.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • John Collins has committed 2.7 personal fouls per game at home this year, ranking him in the 88th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
  • The Atlanta Hawks rank as the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year as it relates to attempts from beyond the arc.
  • The matchup against the Wizards is a hard one for scoring; opposing starting PFs have shot for the 8th-lowest field goal percentage in the league this year (45.9%).
  • Away from home, the Wizards have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.9) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

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