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John Collins

John Collins Points
Player Prop - 3/28/2023

Atlanta Hawks vs Cleveland Cavaliers

John Collins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

John Collins has converted 57.8% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 7.2% more than he's put through the net over the course of the year.

John Collins has averaged 29.3 minutes per game when playing at home this year, ranking in the 77th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.

The matchup vs. the Cavaliers is a favorable one for 3-pointers; the other team's starting PFs have averaged the 28th-most shots from downtown per game in the NBA this year (1.8).

The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games on their home court.

The Atlanta Hawks check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

John Collins has successfully made just 24.8% of his 3-point shots this season, a sizeable decrease from his 34.7 rate last season.

John Collins has accumulated 2.8 personal fouls per game at home this year, placing him in the 90th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.

The Atlanta Hawks rank as the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the league this year as it relates to attempts from beyond the arc.

The Cavaliers have played at the slowest pace in the NBA this year, which ought to reduce possessions for the Hawks.

The matchup against the Cavaliers may be a challenging one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted just 1.6 foul shots per game over the last 25 games (15th-least in the NBA).

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