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John Collins

John Collins Points
Player Prop - 3/22/2023

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Atlanta Hawks

John Collins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

John Collins has been on the court for 29.6 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 77th percentile.

The Atlanta Hawks have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.

The Timberwolves have played at the 3rd-quickest pace in the NBA with the home court advantage this year, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Hawks.

The Atlanta Hawks check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

John Collins has made 93.8% of his foul shots over the last 15 games, 8.4% higher than he's made in all games this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

John Collins has sunk 24.4% of his attempts from beyond the arc this year, putting him in the 17th percentile among all players in the league.

John Collins has been called for 3.1 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the league (95th percentile).

The Atlanta Hawks rank as the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year as it relates to attempts from beyond the arc.

The matchup vs. Minnesota is a tough one for field goal attempts; when the Timberwolves have the home court advantage, opposing starting PFs have totaled the 10th-least shot attempts per game in the league this year (11.1).

The Timberwolves have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

More John Collins Player Props

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