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John Collins

John Collins Points
Player Prop - 3/21/2023

Atlanta Hawks vs Detroit Pistons

John Collins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

John Collins has played 29.4 minutes per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 77th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.

The Atlanta Hawks have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The Pistons have played at the 10th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games away from their home court, which ought to increase plays for the Hawks.

The Atlanta Hawks have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

John Collins has made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 14.4% more than he's converted in all games this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

John Collins has made a mere 24.1% of his shots from behind the three-point arc this season, a significant dropoff from his 34.7 rate last season.

John Collins has committed 2.9 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, putting him in the 90th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.

The Atlanta Hawks rank as the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the league this year in terms of three-point attempts.

The matchup against Detroit is a hard one for 3-pointers; when the Pistons are on the road, the other team's starting PFs have totaled the 15th-least threes per game in the league this year (0.9).

The Pistons have given up the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.4) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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