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John Collins

John Collins Points
Player Prop - 3/13/2023

Atlanta Hawks vs Minnesota Timberwolves

John Collins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-122/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -122.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

John Collins has made 53.1% of his field goals with the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile out of all players in the NBA.

John Collins has tallied 29.2 minutes per game when playing at home this year, ranking in the 75th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.

The Atlanta Hawks check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA while playing at home this year.

The Timberwolves have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to raise opportunities for the Hawks.

The matchup against Minnesota may be a strong one for getting to the free throw line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a massive 3.8 foul shots per game over the last 25 games when the Timberwolves are away from home (27th-most in the league).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

John Collins has committed 3.0 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (96th percentile).

The matchup against Minnesota is a difficult one; when the Timberwolves are on the road, they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the league to the opposition's starting PFs this year (12.2).

The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 9th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.

The Atlanta Hawks rank as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Timberwolves have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.4) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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