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John Collins

John Collins Points
Player Prop - 3/11/2023

Atlanta Hawks vs Boston Celtics

John Collins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-109/-119).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -109.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

John Collins has successfully made 53.1% of his shots from the field at home this year, placing him in the 82nd percentile among all players in the NBA.

John Collins has averaged 29.2 minutes per game while on his home court this year, ranking him in the 75th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.

The Atlanta Hawks check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league at home this year.

The matchup against the Celtics is a favorable one for shots from the field; the other team's starting PFs have totaled the 29th-most field goal attempts per game in the NBA this year (12.1).

The matchup vs. the Celtics may be a positive one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a whopping 4.1 free throws per game over the last 5 games (27th-most in the league).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

John Collins has tallied 3.0 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (96th percentile).

The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 9th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The Celtics have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 20 games away from their home stadium, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Hawks.

The Atlanta Hawks have been the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Away from home, the Celtics have allowed the 9th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.8) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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