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John Collins

John Collins Points
Player Prop - 3/8/2023

Washington Wizards vs Atlanta Hawks

John Collins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

John Collins has made 6.1 buckets per game this year, ranking in the 85th percentile among all players in the league.

John Collins has played 29.8 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 81st percentile.

The matchup against the Wizards is a strong one for shots from the field; opposing starting PFs have tallied the 29th-most buckets per game in the NBA this year (5.8).

The Wizards have played at the 10th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to raise opportunities for the Hawks.

The Atlanta Hawks check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

John Collins has shot and missed 2.6 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.8 higher than he's missed from downtown in all games this year away from home.

John Collins has committed 2.6 personal fouls per game while playing on the road this year, putting him in the 88th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.

The Atlanta Hawks check in as the 9th-least aggressive offense in the NBA on the road this year when it comes to three-point attempts.

The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

John Collins will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city usually worsens stat production in all stat categories.

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